What Your Weather App Is Actually Telling You (And Why It's Lying)
A "40% chance of rain" doesn't mean there's a 40% chance it will rain where you are standing. It means that across a defined geographical area, for a defined time window, precipitation is expected to fall on roughly 40% of it.
There is a number on your phone right now. It might say 30%. It might say 60%. It is presented with the quiet confidence of a fact, a crisp percentage, sitting there next to a little cloud graphic, as though someone has
